Harley-Davidson's sales have fallen sharply since their peak in the mid-2000s, driven by an aging customer base, competition from cheaper bikes, and changing preferences among younger riders
Harley-Davidson sold roughly 330,000 motorcycles annually in North America around 2006. By 2023, that number had dropped to around 170,000 — less than half. The company has faced a structural problem: the average Harley buyer is now in their late 50s, and the brand has struggled to attract riders under 35. At the same time, Japanese and European manufacturers have captured market share with lighter, more fuel-efficient, and significantly cheaper motorcycles.
This decline matters to current and prospective riders because it affects dealer networks, parts availability, resale value, and the company's investment in new models. Understanding what happened — and what Harley is doing about it — helps you make an informed decision about buying, maintaining, or selling a Harley-Davidson motorcycle.
Key Takeaways
- Harley-Davidson's North American sales fell from roughly 330,000 bikes annually in 2006 to around 170,000 by 2023, a decline driven primarily by an aging customer base and competition from cheaper alternatives.
- The brand's core problem is demographic: the average buyer is in their late 50s, and younger riders have gravitated toward Japanese, European, and Chinese manufacturers offering lower prices and modern features.
- Dealer closures have accelerated in recent years, which can affect service availability and resale options in some regions, though major metropolitan areas typically retain multiple locations.
- Harley-Davidson has responded by launching smaller, cheaper models like the Street 500 and Nightster, and by expanding electric motorcycle production with the LiveWire line.
- Used Harley values have softened as inventory has grown, making it a buyer's market for secondhand bikes but a tougher environment for sellers.
How the decline unfolded from 2006 to today
Harley-Davidson reached its sales peak around 2006, when the brand was at maximum cultural visibility and the U.S. economy was still expanding. The company sold roughly 330,000 motorcycles that year in North America. From 2007 onward, the financial crisis, rising fuel prices, and shifting consumer priorities began to erode demand. By 2009, sales had collapsed to around 200,000 units.
The company recovered somewhat in the 2010s as the economy improved, but never returned to 2006 levels. By 2019, before the pandemic, Harley was selling roughly 220,000 bikes annually in North America. The COVID-19 pandemic initially boosted motorcycle sales across the industry as people sought outdoor recreation, but that surge proved temporary. By 2023, Harley's North American sales had fallen to approximately 170,000 units — a 48-year low in absolute terms.
International markets have followed a similar pattern. Harley's European and Asian sales have also declined, though the company still maintains a presence in those regions. The overall trend is unmistakable: the brand is smaller than it was two decades ago, and the customer base is older.
Why younger riders are choosing other brands
Harley-Davidson's core problem is not that motorcycles are less popular — motorcycle sales overall have remained relatively stable. The problem is that younger riders are choosing other brands. A Harley-Davidson typically costs between $7,000 and $25,000 new, depending on the model. A comparable Japanese cruiser from Honda, Suzuki, or Yamaha often costs $2,000 to $5,000 less and comes with a warranty covering more years and miles.
Younger riders also prioritize different features than Harley's traditional customer base. They want fuel efficiency, lower seat heights, lighter weight, and modern technology like smartphone connectivity and ABS braking. Harley's lineup has historically emphasized heavy, powerful cruisers with classic styling — a formula that appeals to older enthusiasts but not to someone buying their first motorcycle at age 25.
Chinese manufacturers like Zongshen and Lifan have also entered the market with extremely affordable bikes priced under $3,000 new. While these bikes lack Harley's brand prestige and dealer support, they are accessible to riders who cannot afford a $10,000 entry-level Harley. European brands like KTM and BMW have captured younger riders interested in adventure bikes and lightweight street bikes — categories where Harley has little presence.
Dealer closures and what they mean for service and resale
As sales have declined, Harley-Davidson dealerships have closed. The company had roughly 1,450 dealers in North America in 2006. By 2023, that number had fallen to around 700 — a 52% reduction. Dealer closures have been concentrated in rural areas and smaller cities, where a single dealership may have served a wide geographic area.
For current Harley owners, dealer closures can complicate service and parts availability. If your nearest dealer closes, you may need to travel farther for warranty work or to order OEM (original equipment manufacturer) parts. Some independent shops can service Harley motorcycles, but they may not have access to the same parts inventory or warranty coverage as official dealers. In major metropolitan areas, multiple Harley dealers typically remain, so service access is usually not a problem.
Dealer closures also affect resale value. A used Harley in a region with no nearby dealers is harder to sell, because buyers worry about future service costs and parts availability. Conversely, a used Harley in an area with active dealers may hold value better. If you are considering buying a used Harley, check how many dealers operate within 50 miles of where you live.
Harley's response: smaller bikes, lower prices, and electric models
Harley-Davidson has acknowledged the problem and is attempting to address it through product diversification. In 2015, the company launched the Street 500 and Street 750 — small-displacement cruisers priced around $7,000 new, significantly cheaper than traditional Harley models. These bikes were designed to appeal to younger and first-time riders, though they have not reversed the sales decline on their own.
In 2022, Harley introduced the Nightster, a 975cc middleweight cruiser positioned between the Street models and the company's larger cruisers. The Nightster is lighter and more agile than traditional Harleys, and its price point ($7,649 at launch) targets riders who want a Harley but cannot justify spending $12,000 or more. Early sales data suggests the Nightster has attracted some younger buyers, though it remains too early to declare it a breakthrough.
Harley has also invested heavily in electric motorcycles through its LiveWire brand. The LiveWire One, launched in 2019, is a high-performance electric bike priced around $15,000. The company has since introduced cheaper electric models like the LiveWire S2 Delphi ($15,000) and plans to release sub-$10,000 electric bikes. Electric motorcycles appeal to environmentally conscious riders and those interested in new technology, demographics where Harley has traditionally been weak.
How the sales decline affects used bike prices and inventory
As new Harley sales have fallen, the used market has become flooded with older bikes. Dealers and private sellers have more inventory than buyers, which puts downward pressure on used prices. A Harley that sold for $12,000 five years ago might now fetch $9,000 or $10,000 — a 15% to 25% depreciation beyond normal wear and age.
This shift benefits buyers. If you are shopping for a used Harley, you have more options and more negotiating power than you would have had in 2010 or 2015. Prices are lower, and sellers are more motivated to move inventory. However, the same dynamic hurts sellers. If you own a Harley and want to sell it, you will likely receive less than you would have a decade ago, all else equal.
Financing has also become more competitive. Harley-Davidson Financial Services and third-party lenders are offering lower interest rates and longer loan terms to move inventory. If you are financing a new or used Harley, shop around — rates vary significantly by lender and credit profile, and the market is currently favorable to buyers.
What this means for the future of the brand
Harley-Davidson's long-term survival is not in question — the company remains profitable and has a loyal customer base. However, the brand's size and market position have shifted permanently. Harley is no longer the dominant motorcycle manufacturer in North America. It is now one player among many, competing on price, features, and brand heritage rather than on market dominance.
The company's success in attracting younger riders will determine whether the decline stabilizes or continues. The Street 500, Nightster, and LiveWire models are steps in that direction, but they have not yet reversed the trend. If Harley can establish itself as a credible option for riders under 40, sales may stabilize at a lower but sustainable level. If younger riders continue to choose Japanese, European, or Chinese alternatives, Harley's market share will continue to shrink.
For riders and potential buyers, the current environment offers both opportunities and risks. Used Harley prices are favorable, dealer networks remain functional in most areas, and the company is investing in new models. However, the long-term health of the dealer network depends on sales recovery, and that recovery is not may provide.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is Harley-Davidson going out of business?
No. Harley-Davidson remains profitable and has strong brand recognition. However, the company is significantly smaller than it was in 2006, with roughly half the annual sales. The company is investing in new products and markets to stabilize its position, but there is no may provide those efforts will reverse the decline.
Will Harley dealers continue to close?
Dealer closures have slowed in recent years, but closures in rural and low-population areas are likely to continue if sales do not recover. Major cities will likely retain multiple dealers. If you live in a rural area, check whether your nearest dealer is still operating before buying a Harley.
Should I buy a used Harley now or wait?
Used Harley prices are currently favorable to buyers, with more inventory and lower prices than in previous years. If you want a used Harley and can find one in good condition at a price you can afford, the current market is a good time to buy. Waiting is unlikely to produce significantly better prices.
Are Harley electric motorcycles worth buying?
Harley's LiveWire electric bikes are high-quality machines, but they are expensive relative to gas-powered alternatives. The LiveWire One costs around $15,000, while a comparable gas-powered Harley costs less. Electric bikes make sense if you value environmental impact, low operating costs, or new technology. Otherwise, a used gas-powered Harley may offer better value.
Why don't younger people buy Harleys anymore?
Younger riders prioritize lower prices, fuel efficiency, lighter weight, and modern technology. A Harley typically costs more than competing Japanese or European bikes and emphasizes classic styling over contemporary features. Harley's brand heritage appeals to older riders but not to someone buying their first motorcycle at age 25.